Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Arba Minch		Addis Ababa Ketema

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Arba Minch
37%

Draw
35.4%

Addis Ababa Ketema
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

33.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

32.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Addis Ababa Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Addis Ababa Ketema than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Arba Minch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Addis Ababa Ketema is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arba Minch won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.04.22	Defence Force - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
28.02.22	Arba Minch - Sebeta City	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch	0:1 ✺
11.02.22	Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTWT
- Addis Ababa Ketema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
31.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
23.02.22	Sidama Coffee - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5 ✺
10.02.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL

Ethiopian Premier League
24.10.21	Addis Ababa Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2
20.03.17	Addis Ababa Ketema - Arba Minch	1:1

Arba Minch - Addis Ababa Ketema