Match Info
Premier League - Round 19Date: 6 February 2026, Friday
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Adama City |
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Hawassa City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.5 |
2.55 |
2.25 |
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3.35 |
2.62 |
2.3 |
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3.64 |
2.62 |
2.34 |
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3.6 |
2.63 |
2.33 |
Watch |
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3.4 |
2.4 |
2.25 |
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3.71 |
2.78 |
2.27 |
Watch |
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3.5 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.53 ↑ (2.5) |
2.59 ↓ (2.8) |
2.29 ↓ (2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adama City 25.6% | Draw 35% | Hawassa City 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawassa City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawassa City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Adama City - Hawassa City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Hawassa City (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawassa City (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Bekele S. ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Hefamo T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 3.Adama City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Hawassa City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). Hawassa City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 5 | 50 |
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| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hawassa City - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 24.06.25 | Hawassa City - Adama City | 2:1 | | 25.10.24 | Adama City - Hawassa City | 2:0 | | 15.06.24 | Hawassa City - Adama City | 0:5 | | 26.01.24 | Adama City - Hawassa City | 3:2 | | 09.04.23 | Adama City - Hawassa City | 0:2 | | 14.10.22 | Hawassa City - Adama City | 0:1 | | 01.07.22 | Hawassa City - Adama City | 2:3 |
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