The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide United 47%
Draw 25.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
24.3%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
24%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.
Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Sydney Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Sydney Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Melegh I. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 3. McNamara M. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 2. Hodgson E. 9. Zois P. 6. Taranto M. 15. Taranto A. 22. Healy E. 8. Condon E. 10. Dawber C.
20. Khamis S. (G) 22. Cerne A. 7. Harrison A. (C) 3. Ying Wang 14. Buchanan E. 19. Younis T. 6. Chessari A. 11. Matos D. 66. Berryhill C. 10. Yuan C. 9. Kim Soe-Un
Substitutes
11. Hodgson I. 21. Jenkins C. (G) 7. Makris E. 5. Morgan S. 4. Murray H. 23. Worts F.
5. Bennett A. 25. Caspers H. 12. Edwards B. (G) 37. Harada E. 4. Hooks P. 17. Ng-Saad A.
Coaches
Tsiounis T.
Abrahams G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
16', Healy E. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Hodgson E. ⚽, Taranto A. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Zois P. ⚽, Condon E. (A),
45+4', 3 - 0, Healy E. ⚽, Hodgson E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Yuan C. ↓, Ng-Saad A. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Ng-Saad A. ⚽, So-eun K. (A),
61', Zois P. 🟨,
62', Chessari A. ↓, Harada E. ↑,
62', So-eun K. ↓, Caspers H. ↑,
63', Condon E. ↓, Worts F. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Dawber C. ⚽, Worts F. (A),
75', 4 - 2, Berryhill C. ⚽, Matos D. (A),
80', Cerne A. ↓, Hooks P. ↑,
84', Hooks P. 🟨,
86', Taranto A. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
86', 5 - 2, Healy E. ⚽, Zois P. (A),
90+2', Ying Wang ↓, Bennett A. ↑,
90+3', Zois P. ↓, Morgan S. ↑,
90+3', Healy E. ↓, Murray E. ↑,
90+3', Tolland Z. ↓, Murray H. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 5.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Adelaide United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Adelaide United is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 2.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.8:1.8).