Match Info

A-League Women - Round 18

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: McKellar Park (Canberra)

Referee: Velarde M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Canberra United		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.15	5.7	Watch
	1.51	4.3	6.17
	1.51	4.43	5.74	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.75
	1.45	4.1	5.97	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	4.15 ↓ (4.37)	5.81 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra United
62.1%

Draw
22.1%

Western Sydney Wanderers
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 13. Christopherson S. 3. Anton E. 28. Bertolissio T. 32. Gordon B. 11. Robers E. 33. Sasaki N. 25. Malone D. 12. Taylor-Young H. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)	20. Khamis S. (G) 14. Buchanan E. 3. Ying Wang 22. Cerne A. 11. Matos D. 6. Chessari A. 7. Harrison A. (C) 37. Harada E. 21. Barker A. 10. Yuan C. 17. Ng-Saad A.
Substitutes
19. Dale S. 9. De Domizio K. 8. Grove S. 7. Hawkins E. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 10. Stanic-Floody M.	30. Collins A. 12. Edwards B. (G) 24. Fazzari N. 4. Hooks P. 13. Khoshaba A. 23. Zumaya M.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.	Abrahams G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Aulicino J. ⚽, Anton E. (A),
22', Yuan C. 🟨,
34', Sasaki N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ng-Saad A. ↓, Zumaya M. ↑,
46', Yuan C. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
46', Buchanan E. ↓, Khoshaba A. ↑,
58', Ying Wang ↓, Hooks P. ↑,
62', Malone D. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Aulicino J. ⚽, Sasaki N. (A),
69', Chessari A. ↓, Fazzari N. ↑,
72', Christopherson S. ↓, Grove S. ↑,
72', Gordon B. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Heyman M. ⚽,
80', Heyman M. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
80', Anton E. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 2.

Canberra United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

WS Wanderers is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

WS Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Canberra United is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
14.02.26	Perth Glory - Canberra United	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sydney FC - Canberra United	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	3:1 ✺
23.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Canberra United	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canberra United - Wellington Phoenix	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Western Sydney Wanderers Women
Australian A-League Women
13.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Melbourne City - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
03.01.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:1
19.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:3
18.01.25	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0
13.03.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	4:1
08.03.24	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1
12.03.23	Western Sydney Wanderers - Canberra United	1:1
24.02.23	Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0

Canberra United - Western Sydney Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide