Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 19

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Summit Sport and Recreation Park (Mount Barker)


	Adelaide United U23		Sturt Lions

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.40
	1.94	3.70	2.95
	2.33	3.75	2.78
	1.98	3.89	3.26	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.18
	2.56	3.44	2.32
	2.48	3.60	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.94)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	2.61 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United U23
39%

Draw
25.5%

Sturt Lions
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

23.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

22.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United U23's form might have worsened.

Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturt Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adelaide United U23 - Sturt Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide United U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Lesi T. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Elton E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Rarhidi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Sortini A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 3, Mohtashami A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Adelaide United U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adelaide United U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian
19.07.26	FK Beograd - Adelaide United U23	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Adelaide United U23 - Campbelltown City	0:0 ✺
26.06.26	Croydon - Adelaide United U23	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Comets	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLTT
- Sturt Lions
Australian NPL South Australian
18.07.26	West Adelaide - Sturt Lions	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Sturt Lions - Playford City Patriots	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	West Torrens Birkalla - Sturt Lions	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Sturt Lions - Para Hills Knights	6:0 ✺
13.06.26	North Eastern MetroStars - Sturt Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
02.05.26	Sturt Lions - Adelaide United U23	2:3

Adelaide United U23 - Sturt Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide