Match Info

2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Datenpol Arena (Maria Enzersdorf)

Referee: Semler J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Admira		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.05
	2.29	3.24	3.3
	2.37	2.97	3.23	Watch
	2.22	3.34	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.99)	3.19 ↓ (3.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admira
41.1%

Draw
29.4%

Austria Lustenau
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Admira's form might have worsened.

Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Admira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Admira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Admira - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Admira will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Admira: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Admira (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steinbauer C. (G) 11. Forst J. 8. Gemicibasi T. 24. Holzhacker F. 15. Horvat M. 6. Malicsek L. 5. Meisl M. 28. Murgas J. 22. Ristanic F. 10. Schmidt A. 33. Weberbauer J.	27. Schierl D. (G) 22. Bouchenna M. 19. Delaye S. 24. Diarra S. 7. Gmeiner F. 23. Grabher P. (C) 26. Ibertsberger L. 99. Lahne J. 18. Voisine R. 6. Wade M. 3. William Rodrigues
Substitutes
21. Ajanovic N. 31. Conde S. (G) 19. Dordevic A. 4. Feiner F. 68. Olsa C. 20. Schabauer M. 17. Wagner M.	11. Akbulut M. 30. Bohm P. (G) 61. Ismailcebioglu H. 20. Koc E. 31. Maak M. 10. Ouattara I. 21. Rouquette A.
Coaches
Silberberger T.	Mader M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Delaye S. ⚽, Wade M. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Schmidt A. ⚽, Horvat M. (A),
44', Gmeiner F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Meisl M. 🟨,
57', Murgas J. ↓, Feiner F. ↑,
72', Horvat M. 🟨,
74', Ibertsberger L. 🟨,
74', Bouchenna M. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
75', Ristanic F. ↓, Schabauer M. ↑,
75', Forst J. ↓, Olsa C. ↑,
82', Diarra S. ↓, Ouattara I. ↑,
82', Ibertsberger L. ↓, Rouquette A. ↑,
83', Holzhacker F. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
87', Feiner F. 🟨,
90', Delaye S. ↓, Maak M. ↑,
90', Lahne J. ↓, Akbulut M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 6).

Admira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Austria Lustenau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Austria Lustenau has had a series of home games.

Admira could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Admira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Admira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Admira
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.25	Rapid Wien II - Admira	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Admira - Bregenz	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Admira	0:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	ASK Voitsberg - Admira	1:4 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
22.08.25	Admira - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWW
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian 2 Liga
19.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Floridsdorfer AC	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	First Vienna - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
22.08.25	Austria Lustenau - Stripfing	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
11.04.25	Austria Lustenau - Admira	0:1
27.09.24	Admira - Austria Lustenau	0:0
Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	Admira - Austria Lustenau	1:3

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