The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Lustenau 60.3%
Draw 21.3%
Sturm Graz B 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
22.4%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
19%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Lustenau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B Predictions
Users Predictions:
Austria Lustenau will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Lustenau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Schierl D. (G) 19. Delaye S. 24. Diarra S. 7. Gmeiner F. 23. Grabher P. (C) 26. Ibertsberger L. 9. Jastremski L. 99. Lahne J. 18. Voisine R. 6. Wade M. 3. William Rodrigues
41. Lorenz E. (G) 10. Afrifa L. 2. Bakhty S. 11. Gurmann T. 9. Jastrzembski D. 17. Locker J. 47. Osayantin R. 31. Pernot B. 27. Pirker S. 35. Weinhandl L. 13. Wolf J.
Substitutes
17. Au Yeong D. 30. Bohm P. (G) 69. Bouchenna M. 61. Ismailcebioglu H. 20. Koc E. 31. Maak M. 21. Rouquette A.
5. Burger D. 4. Jabateh I. 29. Koita Y. 33. Lazarre W. 66. Morgenstern L. 45. Nsumbu D. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
Coaches
Mader M.
Wurm C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Weinhandl L. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Lahne J. ⚽, Wade M. (A),
33', Bakhty S. 🟨,
43', Bakhty S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Locker J. ↓, Burger D. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Lahne J. ⚽, Wade M. (A),
61', Jastrzembski D. ↓, Jabateh I. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Osayantin R. ⚽, Afrifa L. (A),
69', Ibertsberger L. ↓, Rouquette A. ↑,
78', Osayantin R. ↓, Lazarre W. ↑,
79', Grabher P. 🟨,
83', Diarra S. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
87', Afrifa L. ↓, Morgenstern L. ↑,
90+2', Pernot B. 🟨,
90+3', Delaye S. ↓, Maak M. ↑,
90+3', Lahne J. ↓, Bouchenna M. ↑,
90+6', Pernot B. 🟨,
90+6', Weinhandl L. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
Austria Lustenau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sturm B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sturm B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sturm B has had a series of home games.
In this match, Austria Lustenau is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Lustenau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.