Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Afan Lido		Risca United

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.25	2.39
	2.53	3.21	2.47
	2.5	3.7	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.02)	3.39 ↑ (3.19)	2.4 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
36%

Draw
26.5%

Risca United
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

24.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Risca United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Risca United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Risca United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Risca United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Afan Lido is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Risca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Risca have a series of home games.

Afan Lido will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Afan Lido won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.22	Port Talbot Town - Afan Lido	0:2 ✺
15.04.22	Afan Lido - Port Talbot Town	2:0 ✺
01.04.22	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Undy Athletic - Afan Lido	0:2 ✺
18.03.22	Llanelli - Afan Lido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWT
- Risca United
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Risca United	3:3 ✺
15.04.22	Risca United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Risca United - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
25.03.22	Risca United - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
11.03.22	Risca United - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
12.12.20	Risca United - Afan Lido	5:2

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