The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afogados da Ingazeira 35.1%
Draw 29.8%
Íbis 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
28.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27.3%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afogados da Ingazeira's form might have worsened.
Íbis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Íbis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afogados da Ingazeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Íbis than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Íbis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Afogados da Ingazeira - Íbis Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Afogados will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Íbis will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group: )).
Afogados da Ingazeira has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Íbis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Íbis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Afogados da Ingazeira will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Afogados da Ingazeira won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Afogados da Ingazeira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.