Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 8

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Valdemar Viana de Araujo (Afogados da Ingazeira)


	Afogados da Ingazeira		Maguary

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.2	1.93
	3.63	3.41	1.99
	3.51	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.52	3.34	1.94
	3.55	3.2	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.97)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	1.97 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afogados da Ingazeira
25.8%

Draw
27.9%

Maguary
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.2%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Maguary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maguary's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maguary than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Danilo Dantas (G) 7. Acaua 3. Claudio Caca-Rato 8. Clebson 5. Dede (C) 2. Denner 4. Kayk 10. Leozinho 11. Rai 9. Rodrigo 6. Weslley	1. Juliano (G) 2. Dudu 9. Erick 19. Guilherme Vintem 8. Jalysson 7. Joao Guilherme 11. Marcos Andre 3. Mateus Henrique 22. Memo 6. Pedrinho 4. Sandoval
Substitutes
14. Carlos Eduardo 25. Endrio (G) 12. Erik Silva (G) 18. Gabriel Goncalves 15. Gilsinho 16. Goncalves da Silva C. E. 13. Matheus Oliveira 17. Stuart	18. Bruce 12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Chico 14. Cruz R. 5. Gelson 10. Hericles 21. Jonnathan Lima 25. Kelvin 23. Keu (G) 15. Pedro Cavalini 20. Renilson 16. Vitinho 13. Wellington 26. Yanan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
32', Dede 🟨,
40', Guilherme Vintem ↓, Jonnathan Lima ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Pedrinho 🟨,
57', Clebson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
60', Erick ↓, Francisco ↑,
69', Kayk 🟨,
76', Rai ↓, Stuart ↑,
76', Pedrinho ↓, Renilson ↑,
76', Memo ↓, Gelson ↑,
76', Marcos Andre ↓, Kelvin ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Afogados is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Maguary is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maguary could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maguary will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Afogados won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Afogados won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
09.02.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	4:0 ✺
05.02.25	Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Central SC	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTL
- AA Maguary
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
12.02.25	Maguary - Jaguar	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sport Recife - Maguary	5:0 ✺
02.02.25	Maguary - Decisão	5:0 ✺
30.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maguary	2:0 ✺
20.01.25	Petrolina - Maguary	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
24.02.24	Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary	3:2
26.02.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary	1:1

Afogados da Ingazeira - Maguary: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide