Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)


	Afturelding		Dalvík Reynir

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.37	4.7	5.9	Watch
	1.38	5.25	6.55
	1.39	5.24	6.55
	1.33	4.8	6.5
	1.36	4.9	6.38	Watch
	1.36	4.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.69)	4.93 ↑ (4.33)	6.26 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
66.9%

Draw
18.5%

Dalvík Reynir
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

20.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

20.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afturelding's performance.

Dalvík Reynir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalvík Reynir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afturelding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalvík Reynir than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalvík Reynir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 16. Barkarson B. B. 25. Bjarnason G. 21. Cogic E. 22. Jensen O. 7. Johannsson A. 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 77. Magnusson H. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Sigmarsson G.	1. Lalic F. (G) 21. Abdul A. 18. Bjornsson R. 23. Guerrero A. 17. Ingvarsson G. 6. Jonasson T. (C) 5. Jonsson F. 30. Matheus 15. Oskarsson B. 19. Solvason A. 10. Stojanovic N.
Substitutes
34. Gudjonsson P. 12. Haraldsson B. (G) 10. Hlifarsson K. S. 19. Hugason S. 23. Palsson S. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B.	7. Bjarnason B. 26. Davidsson D. 25. Jonsson E. 24. Maronsson I. (G) 11. Saevaldson V. 16. Thordarson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', Stojanovic N. ↓, Davidsson D. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Bjarnason G. ⚽, Cogic E. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Abdul A. ⚽, Guerrero A. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Sigmarsson G. ⚽,
45+6', Oskarsson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 3 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽,
51', Abdul A. 🟨,
60', 3 - 2, Abdul A. ⚽,
67', Jonasson A. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
67', Cogic E. ↓, Gudjonsson P. ↑,
68', Bjornsson R. 🟨,
75', 3 - 3, Guerrero A. ⚽,
76', Barkarson B. B. 🟨,
79', Johannsson A. 🟨,
82', 4 - 3, Magnusson H. ⚽,
89', Jonsson F. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
31.05.24	Leiknir Reykjavík - Afturelding	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Afturelding - Grindavik	1:1 ✺
21.05.24	Keflavík - Afturelding	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
17.05.24	Afturelding - Valur	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.24	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL
- Dalvík Reynir
Icelandic Division 1
01.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Grótta	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	IR Reykjavik - Dalvík Reynir	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Dalvík Reynir - Fjölnir	0:0 ✺
09.05.24	Njarðvík - Dalvík Reynir	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
25.04.24	Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
25.04.24	Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir	4:1
Icelandic League Cup
09.03.24	Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir	7:0

Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide