Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)


	Keflavík		Afturelding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.7	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.91	3.65	2.37
	2.75	3.6	2.15
	2.9	3.63	2.23
	2.7	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)	3.46 ↓ (3.66)	2.25 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
32.9%

Draw
26.4%

Afturelding
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

24.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keflavík's form might have worsened.

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keflavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afturelding, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keflavík - Afturelding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 24. Gudmundsson G. 3. Johannesson A. 23. Kamel S. 50. Kovtun O. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 20. Mladen M. 26. Orrason A. 28. Sigfusson K.	24. Andresson J. (G) 16. Barkarson B. B. 25. Bjarnason G. 10. Cogic E. 19. Hugason S. 22. Jensen O. 7. Johannsson A. 77. Magnusson H. 23. Palsson S. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Sigmarsson G.
Substitutes
7. Diaw M. 11. Eysteinsson R. 5. Fridriksson S. 8. Gudmundsson A. 10. Hakonarson V. 12. Herbertsson G. (G) 19. Osmani E.	26. Cogic E. 34. Gudjonsson P. 1. Johannesson A. (G) 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kamel S. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Mladen M. 🟨,
55', Jensen O. 🟨,
65', Magnusson A. 🟨,
77', Hugason S. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Palsson S. ⚽,
82', Sigfusson K. ↓, Diaw M. ↑,
82', Elvarsson F. ↓, Hakonarson V. ↑,
86', Cogic E. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
88', Barkarson B. B. 🟨,
90', Kovtun O. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
22.09.24	Keflavík - IR Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
18.09.24	IR Reykjavik - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
14.09.24	Keflavík - Fjölnir	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Njarðvík - Keflavík	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTW
- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
23.09.24	Fjölnir - Afturelding	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Afturelding - Fjölnir	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Afturelding - IR Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Fjölnir - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Afturelding - Njarðvík	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
25.07.24	Afturelding - Keflavík	1:3
21.05.24	Keflavík - Afturelding	3:0
Icelandic League Cup
02.03.22	Keflavík - Afturelding	5:0
Icelandic Division 1
22.08.20	Afturelding - Keflavík	2:2
19.06.20	Keflavík - Afturelding	5:1
25.07.19	Afturelding - Keflavík	1:0
17.05.19	Keflavík - Afturelding	5:0

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