Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 21

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Valur		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.90	2.45
	2.32	3.85	2.45	Watch
	2.48	4.25	2.56
	2.22	4.26	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3.95	2.5
	2.47	3.85	2.47	Watch
	2.34	4	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.04)	4.01 ↓ (4.09)	2.52 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
39.7%

Draw
23.3%

Akraness
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

22.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

22.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akraness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akraness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Valur - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Akraness will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Akraness (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Akraness (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schram F. (G) 21. Palsson J. 4. Nakkim M. 3. Gunnarsson H. 17. Heimisson L. 10. Jonsson J. (C) 5. Arnarsson K. 7. Fridjonsson S. 22. Heimisson B. 19. Gardarson D. 9. Pedersen P.	1. Einarsson A. M. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 13. Sandberg E. T. 5. Berndsen B. 21. Bodvarsson B. (C) 17. Unnarsson G. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 87. Ellertsson S. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 18. Thrastarson R.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 27. Eiriksson P. 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 11. Stole I. 29. Veseli S. 33. Wehmeier G. 45. Wissler J.	27. Atlason B. 20. Gudjonsson I. 26. Gunnarsson M. 44. Saevarsson G. 16. Sigurjonsson R. 37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 22. Stefansson O. 3. Vall J. 35. Zumbergs A.
Coaches
Brazell C.	Sigurdsson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ellertsson M. P. ⚽, Unnarsson G. (A),
39', Gardarson D. 🟨,
41', Berndsen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Thrastarson R. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
58', Bodvarsson B. 🟨,
66', Pedersen P. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
66', Heimisson B. ↓, Veseli S. ↑,
67', Unnarsson G. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
68', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Sigurjonsson R. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Heimisson L. ⚽, Gardarson D. (A),
81', 2 - 1, Jonsson J. ⚽, Stole I. (A),
86', Ellertsson S. ↓, Gunnarsson M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Berndsen B. ⚽, Sigurjonsson R. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 1.

Valur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akraness is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Akraness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Akraness has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:26. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Valur - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLL
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.08.26	Akraness - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Akraness - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0
Icelandic League Cup
26.02.26	Akraness - Valur	2:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.25	Akraness - Valur	2:2
10.05.25	Valur - Akraness	6:1
Icelandic League Cup
15.02.25	Akraness - Valur	1:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.10.24	Valur - Akraness	6:1
28.06.24	Akraness - Valur	3:2

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