Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 38

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Aglianese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.82
	3.95	3.2	1.83
	3.93	3.2	1.83
	4.2	3.42	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	1.82 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aglianese
22.5%

Draw
27.9%

Giana Erminio
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.5%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Aglianese aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Aglianese - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Aglianese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giana Erminio in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aglianese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.04.23	Prato - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Aglianese - Mezzolara	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Bagnolese - Aglianese	1:0 ✺
06.04.23	Aglianese - Forlì	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	SantAngelo - Aglianese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.04.23	Giana Erminio - Corticella	4:0 ✺
23.04.23	Real Forte Querceta - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Giana Erminio - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Crema - Giana Erminio	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Giana Erminio - Scandicci	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
21.12.22	Giana Erminio - Aglianese	3:2

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