The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 66.2%
Draw 23.2%
Atlético de Alagoinhas 10.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
22.9%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
12.9%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-28.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Allef ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Yohan ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
ASA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, ASA has had a series of away games.
In this match, ASA is the obvious favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Watch
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