Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO ALAGOANO - ROUND 6

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Aliança Pilarense

	1	X	2
	1.13	5.75	12.5
	1.23	5.14	11.67
	1.22	5.45	10.5
	1.18	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.37)	5.59 ↑ (4.29)	11.67 ↑ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
76%

Draw
16.2%

Aliança Pilarense
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.1%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.

Aliança Pilarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliança Pilarense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliança Pilarense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches ASA is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aliança is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match ASA is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ASA won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
31.01.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:2 ✺
25.01.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
17.01.23	CS Alagoano - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Coruripe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW
- Aliança Pilarense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.02.23	CS Alagoano - Aliança Pilarense	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Coruripe - Aliança Pilarense	2:1 ✺
25.01.23	Aliança Pilarense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	0:5 ✺
19.01.23	Aliança Pilarense - CRB Maceio	1:3 ✺
15.01.23	Murici - Aliança Pilarense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.02.22	Aliança Pilarense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1
10.04.21	Aliança Pilarense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Aliança Pilarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide