Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.52	2.98	2.62	Watch
	2.64	3.15	2.75
	2.89	3.04	2.43	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.6	2.99	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.76)	2.99 ↑ (2.72)	2.69 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
35.2%

Draw
30.7%

CRB Maceio
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

33.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

32.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 9. Alex Bruno 8. Allef 16. Arthurzinho 14. Batista Santos V. J. 4. Cristian Lucca 29. Iarley 3. Jackson 28. Motta 22. Paulinho 26. Sammuel	12. Matheus Albino (G) 22. Bressan (C) 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 9. Joao Neto 2. Kevin 50. Luizao 60. Maycon 20. Vinicius Barata 82. Wallace
Substitutes
12. Cris (G) 5. Fabio Aguiar 19. Higor Leite 27. Jailson 25. Jeferson Lopes 18. Leo Porfirio 2. Leo Principe 21. Lima V. 13. Mendes D. 17. Pedro Colina 15. Roni Lobo 11. Wandson	97. Dada Belmonte 10. Danielzinho 16. David Braw 45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 27. Fabio Alemao 18. Geovane 32. Hereda 36. Lucas Lovat 33. Lyncon 28. Mikael 1. Vitor Caetano (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Wandson ⚽,
31', Wandson 🟨,
36', Sammuel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
61', Joao Neto ↓, Mikael ↑,
66', Motta ↓, Jailson ↑,
66', Arthurzinho ↓, Fabio Aguiar ↑,
72', Luizao ↓, De Lucca ↑,
72', Motta 🟨,
72', Alex Bruno ↓, Jeferson Lopes ↑,
79', Henri 🟨,
81', Sammuel ↓, Lima V. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 1.

ASA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CRB is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, ASA has had a series of home games.

CRB will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ASA won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
01.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
14.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1
28.02.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0
31.01.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3
15.03.25	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1
08.03.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	2:2
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
12.02.25	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
16.01.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	0:0

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