Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Aguaí U20		Santo Andre U20

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.60	1.58
	3.70	3.40	1.81
	5.26	3.97	1.49
	4.55	3.78	1.64	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.47
	5.98	3.74	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.7)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aguaí U20
18.5%

Draw
24.3%

Santo Andre U20
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.3%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.5%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aguaí U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aguaí U20's form might have worsened.

Santo Andre U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santo Andre U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguaí U20 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo Andre U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santo Andre U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aguaí U20 - Santo Andre U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Santo Andre U20 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santo Andre U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Aguaí U20 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Santo Andre U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santo Andre U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santo Andre U20 is the team to beat.

We predict that Santo Andre U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aguaí U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
14.08.26	São Caetano U20 - Aguaí U20	3:0 ✺
11.08.26	Aguaí U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	0:4 ✺
07.08.26	Aguaí U20 - São Paulo U20	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Aguaí U20	7:1 ✺
24.07.26	Aguaí U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Santo Andre U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	Santo Andre U20 - São Caetano U20	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Santo Andre U20 - Piracicaba U20	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Ibrachina U20 - Santo Andre U20	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Santo Andre U20	4:1 ✺
31.07.26	Santo Andre U20 - União São João U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTWLW

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