Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Marmorek		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3.1	2.5
	2.61	3.32	2.47	Watch
	2.59	3.13	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.17)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Marmorek
34.1%

Draw
28.7%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Marmorek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Marmorek's performance.

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agudat Sport Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Marmorek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agudat Sport Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Marmorek will win (votes: 1 - 20%). AS Ashdod will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Marmorek won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

AS Ashdod will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hapoel Marmorek won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Marmorek won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.01.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	1:1 ✺
03.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0 ✺
27.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLTW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.01.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Dimona	0:0 ✺
10.01.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
03.01.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
30.12.24	Ironi Modiin - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Yavne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
20.09.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1
12.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:1
26.01.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:2
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.03.20	Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:2
26.10.19	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1

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