Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Ahlafors		Motala

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.90	3.50
	1.72	4.05	3.7
	1.69	4.28	3.64
	1.78	4.1	3.54	Watch
	1.62	3.95	3.8
	1.7	4.29	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	4.1 ↑ (3.7)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
53.1%

Draw
22.1%

Motala
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

23.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Motala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motala than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Ahlafors - Motala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Akerman O. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Ali K. ⚽,
9', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
25', 3 - 1, Zetterlund J. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 10th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ahlafors could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ahlafors for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ahlafors has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 2.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ahlafors against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 9:3 goals (averaging 4.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
10	Motala	24	6	8	10	35:38	-3	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
25.09.26	Vänersborgs IF - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Skara - Ahlafors	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ahlafors - Husqvarna	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Ahlafors	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ahlafors - Kumla	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Motala AIF FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
27.09.26	Motala - Herrestads	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Motala - Grebbestad	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Kumla - Motala	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Motala - Stenungsunds	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	IFK Skövde - Motala	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.04.26	Motala - Ahlafors	3:2
28.06.25	Ahlafors - Motala	3:3
11.05.25	Motala - Ahlafors	1:1
24.08.24	Motala - Ahlafors	5:0
27.04.24	Ahlafors - Motala	6:0

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