The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ahlafors 61%
Draw 20.5%
Stenungsunds 18.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.2%
23.1%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ahlafors's performance.
Stenungsunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stenungsunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ahlafors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Ahlafors - Stenungsunds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ahlafors won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Stenungsund may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ahlafors for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Ahlafors has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:10 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ahlafors against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ahlafors - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 53.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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