The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aimoré 49.9%
Draw 29.1%
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
31.7%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
32.4%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aimoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aimoré's performance.
Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Esportivo Bento Gonçalves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aimoré that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esportivo Bento Gonçalves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aimoré won 3.
Aimoré has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Esportivo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Aimoré may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Aimoré is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Aimoré has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aimoré against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).
Watch
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