Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Frederiquense		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.40
	2.18	2.72	3.35
	2.02	2.91	3.95
	2.11	2.81	3.79	Watch
	2	2.7	3.9
	2.13	2.98	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	3.67 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederiquense
43.1%

Draw
32.2%

Aimoré
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederiquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aimoré might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederiquense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Frederiquense - Aimoré Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Frederiquense has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frederiquense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Frederiquense de Futebol
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	APAFUT - Frederiquense	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	GE Glória - Frederiquense	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Frederiquense - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Lajeadense - Frederiquense	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Frederiquense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTWT
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	Aimoré - Lajeadense	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	EC Guarani - Aimoré	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Aimoré - Passo Fundo	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	EC Pelotas - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	APAFUT - Aimoré	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.07.25	Aimoré - Frederiquense	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.02.22	Aimoré - Frederiquense	2:0
15.03.15	Frederiquense - Aimoré	1:1

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