Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 10

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Airfield (Broughton)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Airbus UK Broughton		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.60
	1.92	3.55	3.3
	1.96	3.89	3.41
	1.74	4.13	4.07	Watch
	1.94	3.75	3.35
	1.88	3.66	3.32
	1.93	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.47)	3.74 ↑ (3.43)	3.48 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airbus UK Broughton
49%

Draw
24.6%

Flint Town United
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

25.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airbus UK Broughton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airbus UK Broughton's performance.

Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airbus UK Broughton than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airbus UK Broughton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flint Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Airbus UK Broughton will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Airbus UK Broughton: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Airbus UK Broughton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Airbus UK Broughton (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Airbus UK Broughton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fallon L. (G) 18. Calland O. 10. Cooke K. 8. Evans J. 3. Evans K. 2. McManus T. 22. Moscrop S. 11. Peers G. 6. Rickett S. 17. Roberts J. 4. Stevenson J.	1. Flint J. (G) 2. Dean H. 12. Francis A. 8. Hughes B. 19. Jonas L. 16. Kane N. 4. McGahey H. 7. Mendes L. 23. Modi I. 9. Owolabi T. 17. Woollam B.
Substitutes
7. Blackwell-Jones M. 21. Carroll J. (G) 12. Diau B. 14. Hughes J. 9. Parry J. 16. Smith E.	13. Dempsey Z. (G) 33. Lear A. 39. Marquez Y. 18. Morrison L. 5. Owen H. 6. Thorn J. 14. Wilson C.
Coaches
Allen M.	Fowler L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Peers G. ⚽,
7', Hughes B. 🟨,
12', 2 - 0, McManus T. ⚽,
18', Jonas L. 🟨,
35', McManus T. 🟨,
44', 3 - 0, Peers G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Jonas L. 🟨,
65', Hughes B. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
71', Evans J. ↓, Blackwell-Jones M. ↑,
72', Roberts J. ↓, Parry J. ↑,
74', Owolabi T. ↓, Marquez Y. ↑,
74', Modi I. ↓, Morrison L. ↑,
79', Cooke K. ↓, Hughes J. ↑,
82', Kane N. ↓, Lear A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Peers G. ⚽,
84', Rickett S. ↓, Diau B. ↑,
85', McManus T. ↓, Smith E. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Dean H. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 14th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airbus UK Broughton won 1.

Airbus UK Broughton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Flint Town is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Airbus UK Broughton holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Airbus UK Broughton has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Airbus UK Broughton against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Airbus	12	6	0	6	21:17	4	18
13	Flint	12	2	2	8	12:24	-12	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airbus UK Broughton
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Airbus UK Broughton	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Airbus UK Broughton - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Airbus UK Broughton	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	6:2 ✺
28.08.26	Barry Town United - Airbus UK Broughton	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWL
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Flint Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Flint Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Pen-y-Bont - Flint Town United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
20.01.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United	3:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
14.04.23	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United	1:3
11.03.23	Flint Town United - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1
22.10.22	Flint Town United - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0
30.08.22	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Town United	1:3
Welsh League Cup
24.09.19	Flint Town United - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
15.12.18	Flint Town United - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0

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