The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caernarfon Town 61.4%
Draw 21.2%
Flint Town United 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
20.6%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
19.9%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N. 10. Evans O. 23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 16. Nash B. 4. Piggott J. 27. Sears R. (C)
1. Flint J. (G) 3. Burke M. 14. Francis A. 8. Hughes B. 19. Jonas L. 16. Kane N. 7. Mendes L. 23. Modi I. 5. Owen H. (C) 12. Wilson C. 17. Woollam B.
Substitutes
6. Canavan J. 3. Jones M. 5. Mooney P. 21. Nyamwanza S. 15. Smith D. 17. Williams J. (G) 25. Zanzala O.
45. Atkin J. 2. Dean H. 13. Dempsey Z. (G) 33. Lear A. 18. Morrison L. 9. Owolabi T. 6. Thorn J.
Coaches
Davies R.
Fowler L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Jonas L. 🟨,
43', Mendes P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Mendes L. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Clarke Z. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Evans O. ⚽,
66', Jonas L. ↓, Dean H. ↑,
72', Marriott Ch. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
72', Bradley S. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
72', Piggott J. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
73', Evans O. ↓, Canavan J. ↑,
81', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Nyamwanza S. ↑,
90+3', Mendes L. ↓, Atkin J. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 4.
Caernarfon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Flint Town is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Caernarfon is a strong favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
Usa
Wales
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Roberts C. (G) 
Cieslewicz A. 
Clarke Z. 
Mendes P. 
Mendes L. 
Zanzala O. 
Owolabi T. 
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