The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Town United 34.2%
Draw 27%
Cardiff Metropolitan 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
27.1%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint Town United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Flint Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flint J. (G) 12. Francis A. 8. Hughes B. 19. Jonas L. 16. Kane N. 7. Mendes L. 23. Modi I. 5. Owen H. 9. Owolabi T. 6. Thorn J. 17. Woollam B.
1. Davies A. (G) 5. Clarke J. 8. Craven C. 14. Dymond-Hall S. 23. Hooper J. 10. Jones S. 11. Mwandwe L. 9. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 36. Snaith S. 4. Veale J.
Substitutes
45. Atkin J. 2. Dean H. 13. Dempsey Z. (G) 39. Marquez Y. 4. McGahey H. 18. Morrison L. 14. Wilson C.
3. Edwards J. 12. Gaughan B. 13. Howard W. (G) 20. John H. 18. Lloyd T. 16. McKenzie M. 24. Wildig A.
Coaches
Fowler L.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Modi I. ⚽,
24', Craven C. 🟨,
34', Mendes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Woollam B. 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, Veale J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Owolabi T. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
68', Hooper J. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
68', Hughes B. 🟨,
70', Thorn J. ↓, Dean H. ↑,
88', Veale J. 🟨,
90', Craven C. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 1.
Flint Town has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Cardiff Metropolitan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cardiff Metropolitan might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint Town won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Cardiff Metropolitan
12
6
3
3
23:13
10
21
13
Flint
12
2
2
8
12:24
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
Cardiff Metropolitan - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.01%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Usa
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Flint J. (G) 
Hughes B. 
Mendes L. 
Owolabi T. 
Gaughan B. 
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