The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Airdrieonians 52.7%
Draw 26.2%
Dunfermline Athletic 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
28.8%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
28.2%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airdrieonians's performance.
Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunfermline Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-23.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunfermline Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Airdrieonians: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Airdrieonians (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Stone H. (G) 14. Devine A. 16. Ross C. 12. McArthur C. 3. Strapp L. (C) 11. Henderson E. 18. Barjonas J. 15. Thomas D. 23. Telfer Ch. 24. McKinnon C. 7. Mochrie C. R.
40. Terrell B. (G) 23. Davidson A. 18. Abdulai N. 31. Tod J. 11. Kearney S. 28. McLeod E. 39. Turley F. 22. Bray K. 34. Fyfe L. 33. Cooper J. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. (C)
Substitutes
26. Armstrong R. 25. Constable S. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Hastie J. 10. Mahon R. 4. McGinty S. 17. McGrattan L. 20. Melrose C. (G) 42. Stirton O.
14. Amade A. 4. Benedictus K. 43. Haughey C. 16. MacLeod R. 42. McDowell C. (G) 1. Mehmet D. (G) 41. Shearer F.
Coaches
Taylor-Sinclair A.
Lennon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽, Mochrie C. R. (A),
35', Abdulai N. 🟨,
39', Turley F. ↓, Benedictus K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Oakley-Boothe T. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Mochrie C. R. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Cooper J. ⚽, Fyfe L. (A),
57', Devine A. ↓, Constable S. ↑,
59', McKinnon C. 🟨,
65', Barjonas J. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
65', McKinnon C. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
65', Thomas D. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
76', Henderson E. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
79', Ross C. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Fyfe L. ⚽, Bray K. (A),
89', Fyfe L. ↓, McDowell C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 2.
Airdrieonians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dunfermline is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Airdrieonians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Airdrieonians has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Stone H. (G) 
Terrell B. (G) 
Abdulai N. 
Kearney S. 
Turley F. 
Amade A. 
Mehmet D. (G) 
Taylor-Sinclair A. 
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