The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterhead 51.7%
Draw 25.2%
Kelty Hearts 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
25.7%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
26.2%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterhead's performance.
Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kelty Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterhead that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Peterhead - Kelty Hearts Predictions
Users Predictions:
Peterhead will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Newman J. (G) 2. Strachan D. 5. Brown J. (C) 46. Kerr J. 3. Duffy F. 21. Forrest D. 8. McCarthy A. 7. McGuffie C. 17. Smith C. 22. Ross S. 10. Shanks K.
46. Gourlay K. (G) 2. Thomas M. 35. Brydon J. (C) 27. Wyllie J. 3. Paterson B. 10. Murray I. 6. Ferguson A. 30. Leitch G. 7. Moore L. 26. Cunningham R. 17. McCarvel L.
Substitutes
12. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 27. Jones R. 20. McGinn N. 13. McKelvie L. (G) 16. Ross M. 15. Steele A.
21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 15. Clay C. 18. Pettifer A. 29. Snoddy J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Leitch G. 🟨,
60', Leitch G. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
60', Paterson B. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
76', Kerr J. ↓, Steele A. ↑,
76', Strachan D. ↓, Carnwath A. ↑,
76', Smith C. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,
78', McCarvel L. ↓, Snoddy J. ↑,
79', Brown J. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Moore L. ⚽, Snoddy J. (A),
90+2', 0 - 2, Pettifer A. ⚽,
Preview
Kelty Hearts is Relegated to League Two
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 3.
Peterhead is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kelty Hearts has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Peterhead might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Peterhead won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterhead won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
Outrights of Scottish League One for now
Kelty Hearts: 5.2% Peterhead: 0.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Peterhead
9
2
1
6
7:16
-9
7
Last Results with these Odds
Peterhead - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.84%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Newman J. (G) 
McGinn N. 
Clay C. 
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