Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Ajaccio		Angers

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.6	Watch
	3	2.8	2.6
	3.1	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.21	2.87	2.67
	3.21	2.87	2.68
	2.9	3	2.38
	3.02	2.95	2.55	Watch
	3	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.43)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	2.57 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
30.8%

Draw
32.6%

Angers
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

31%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Angers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Angers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Ajaccio - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Angers will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 2. Chanot M. 5. Vidal C. 27. Campanini T. 10. Bammou Y. 8. Marchetti V. 6. Mangani T. (C) 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 19. Jacob V. 11. Toure B.	30. Fofana Y. (G) 2. Valery Y. 25. Bamba A. 22. Hountondji C. 21. Lefort J. 20. Ferhat Z. 8. Lopy J. 15. Capelle P. (C) 28. El Melali F. 10. Abdelli H. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
38. Chegra I. 35. Khelifa A. 7. Nouri R. 37. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 18. Soumano M. 31. Strata T.	24. Bahoya J. 26. Hanin F. 23. Hunou A. 7. Niane I. 12. Ould Khaled Z. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Dujeux A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Angers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ajaccio have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Annecy - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.23	Toulouse Métropole - Ajaccio	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Ajaccio - Troyes	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Grenoble - Ajaccio	0:3 ✺
28.10.23	Concarneau - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 2
27.11.23	Angers - Caen	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Houilles - Angers	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Pau - Angers	4:4 ✺
04.11.23	Angers - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Saint-Étienne - Angers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Angers - Ajaccio	1:2
28.12.22	Ajaccio - Angers	1:0
French Ligue 2
24.04.15	Angers - Ajaccio	1:0
21.11.14	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1

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