Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lyon		Angers

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.4	7.3
	1.47	4.71	7.27
	1.09	8.14	40.00	Watch
	1.51	4.82	6.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	5.31 ↑ (4.9)	13.61 ↑ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyon
73.3%

Draw
19.2%

Angers
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.7%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	8.8%	5.3%

Lyon - Angers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Lyon (2.28) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Angers (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Clinton Mata 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K. 11. Fofana M. 20. Satriano M.	12. Koffi H. (G) 2. Arcus C. 4. Camara O. 21. Lefort J. 3. Ekomie J. 6. Mouton L. 93. Belkebla H. (C) 14. Belkhdim Y. 27. Raolisoa L. 35. Peter P. 17. Kalumba J.
Substitutes
41. Barisic T. 39. de Carvalho M. 50. Diarra L. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 32. Gomes A. 21. Kluivert R. 29. Molebe E. 17. Moreira A. 10. Sulc P.	10. Abdelli H. 25. Bamba A. 24. Biumla E. 15. Capelle P. 11. Cherif S. 5. Courcoul M. 26. Hanin F. 36. Machine L. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lefort J. 🟨,
22', Niakhate M. 🟨,
37', Arcus C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Merah K. 🟨,
62', Mouton L. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
62', Kalumba J. ↓, Cherif S. ↑,
65', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Tessmann T. ⚽,
81', Tolisso C. ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
82', Satriano M. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
90', Belkhdim Y. ↓, Capelle P. ↑,
90', Raolisoa L. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
90+2', Fofana M. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
90+2', Karabec A. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 5.

Lyon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Angers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lyon is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Abner Vinicius (Groin Injury) Descamps R. (Wrist Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Morton T. (Red Card) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Angers: Allevinah J. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:15. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Rennes - Lyon	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Lyon - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lyon - Metz	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lyon - Getafe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
14.09.25	Metz - Angers	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Angers - Rennes	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Angers - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Angers - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Lyon - Angers	2:0
07.12.24	Angers - Lyon	0:3
25.02.23	Angers - Lyon	1:3
03.09.22	Lyon - Angers	5:0
03.04.22	Lyon - Angers	3:2
15.08.21	Angers - Lyon	3:0
11.04.21	Lyon - Angers	3:0

Upcoming Matches