Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Grenoble		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.28	3	3.35
	2.25	3.07	3.68
	2.22	3.04	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
	2.28	3.11	3.63	Watch
	2.28	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	3.48 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
41.8%

Draw
31.1%

Ajaccio
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Grenoble - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 24. Mouyokolo L. 27. Xantippe M. 17. Delos S. 25. Valls T. 8. Benet J. 30. Diba S. 77. Mendy A. 28. Olaitan J. 7. Diaby Y.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. (C) 31. Ayessa J. 23. Strata T. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 27. Kante A. 22. Soumano M.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 4. Diarra M. 38. Jabbari A. 9. Kerouedan A. 6. Rigo D. 10. Sylvestre E. 70. Touray S.	2. Campanini T. 21. Chegra I. 40. Contena S. (G) 6. Mangani T. 36. Martinez-Jullien O. 3. Quemper S. 9. Santelli B.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Delos S. ⚽, Paquiez G. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Bamba A. ⚽, Anziani J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Diba S. 🟨,
55', Paquiez G. 🟨,
59', Kante A. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
66', Diba S. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
77', Soumano M. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
77', Anziani J. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
77', Olaitan J. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
78', Diaby Y. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Jabbari A. (Pen),
90', Youssouf M. ↓, Quemper S. ↑,
90+1', Mangani T. 🟨,
90+1', Jabbari A. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ⚽, Mangani T. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Grenoble will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Grenoble: Diarra M. (Injury) Mbemba N. (Injury) Nestor L. (Knee Injury) Sarikaya E. (Injury) Tchaptchet A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Kouassi A. (Red Card) Quemper S. (Inactive) Toure B. (Inactive) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
28.02.25	Pau - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Amiens - Grenoble	1:4 ✺
07.02.25	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0 ✺
31.01.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWTW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
03.03.25	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Metz - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Ajaccio - Laval	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
31.01.25	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.09.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:0
10.05.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	0:2
04.11.23	Grenoble - Ajaccio	0:3
07.05.22	Grenoble - Ajaccio	1:1
21.12.21	Ajaccio - Grenoble	1:0
30.01.21	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:1
19.09.20	Grenoble - Ajaccio	2:0

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