The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajax 53.5%
Draw 25.3%
Feyenoord 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
22.4%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
21.5%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Ajax - Feyenoord Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. van der Vliet D. (G) 21. Buikema N. 24. De Klonia D. 7. Derks R. 17. Dostmohamed I. 3. Noordermeer D. 16. Noordman D. 10. Smits J. 25. Touzani L. 28. Van Dijk E. 12. van Hensbergen J.
20. Dinkla C. (G) 6. Brandau J. 14. de Graaf E. 27. DellaPeruta T. 11. DellaPeruta V. 28. Hulswit Z. 23. Itamura M. 7. Iwasaki K. 5. Obispo C. (C) 3. Takeshige A. 21. van Bentem T.
Substitutes
. Barendsz C. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 8. Spitse S. . van der Linden N. 11. Van Egmond B. 1. van Eijk R. (G) 27. van Schoonhoven N. . Verkooijen F. . Wegerif M.
. Braun L. 26. de Paus S. 44. Haverhoek T. 18. Heij L. 9. Koopman S. 29. Lont D. . van Dam 25. van de Lavoir R. 16. Van Eijk R. (G) 1. Weimar J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Touzani L. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Noordermeer D. ⚽,
66', Brandau J. 🟥,
78', 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Smits J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
We predict that Ajax will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 1.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).