Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 4

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Walthuis K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Ajax		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.09	9.25	16
	1.08	8.4	15.5
	1.09	10.79	15.87
	1.12	8.03	14.99	Watch
	1.06	9.3	18	Watch
	1.08	8.2	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.06)	9 ↓ (9.51)	15.89 ↓ (16.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
84.1%

Draw
10.2%

Heerenveen
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.1%

9.5%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ajax - Heerenveen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Heerenveen (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Eijk R. (G) 3. Noordermeer D. 9. Tolhoek D. 11. Van Egmond B. 6. van de Velde J. 20. Colin I. 8. Spitse S. (C) 16. Noordman D. 25. Touzani L. 27. van Schoonhoven N. 24. De Klonia D.	1. Resink J. (G) 3. Meijer F. (C) 9. Maatman E. 6. Maass E. 5. Nassette A. 4. Smits E. 10. Kroezen S. 14. van Vilsteren E. 22. Kaagman I. 19. Altena A. 18. Kerkhof E.
Coaches
Anouk B.	Tarvajarvi N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Touzani L. ⚽, Tolhoek D. (A),
17', Kerkhof E. 🟨,
20', De Klonia D. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Tolhoek D. ⚽, Spitse S. (A),
24', 3 - 0, Spitse S. ⚽, Tolhoek D. (A),
35', van Schoonhoven N. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 3 - 1, Kroezen S. ⚽, Resink J. (A),
60', De Klonia D. ↓, Visscher A. ↑,
60', Touzani L. ↓, Derks R. ↑,
67', Nassette A. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
73', Kaagman I. 🟨,
74', Colin I. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
74', Van Egmond B. ↓, van Koppen M. ↑,
77', Kaagman I. ↓, Vermeer B. ↑,
87', van Hensbergen J. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 1, Derks R. ⚽, Smits J. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.

Ajax is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ajax is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:15. (average 2.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:4. (average 3.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
28.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
18.09.25	Sturm Graz - Ajax	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Ajax - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
06.09.25	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW
- SC Heerenveen Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
28.09.25	Heerenveen - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	ADO Den Haag - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Heerenveen - Twente	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly Women
10.08.25	Werder Bremen - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
17.05.25	Telstar - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.03.25	Ajax - Heerenveen	5:1
15.12.24	Heerenveen - Ajax	1:4
31.03.24	Heerenveen - Ajax	2:1
14.02.24	Ajax - Heerenveen	5:1
31.03.23	Heerenveen - Ajax	2:5
02.10.22	Ajax - Heerenveen	7:0
29.04.22	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:2

Ajax - Heerenveen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide