Match Info

UEFA Europa Cup Women - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 10h 14m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Milovanovic M. (Srb)


	Ajax		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.95
	2.1	3.35	2.86
	2.11	3.62	2.97	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.8
	2.1	3.62	2.81
	2.06	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.99)	3.56 ↓ (3.89)	2.89 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
43.4%

Draw
25.4%

Malmö
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ajax - Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

First leg.

Ajax has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Malmö shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ajax could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Ajax is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
18.10.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
04.10.26	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Aktobe - Ajax	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.09.26	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Ajax - Aktobe	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Malmö FF Women
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
24.10.26	Kristianstad - Malmö	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Malmö - AIK	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Malmö - Rosengård	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Malmö - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
27.09.26	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
01.11.26	Ajax - Twente	✺

Ajax - Malmö