Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Ajka Sportcentrum (Ajka)


	Ajka		Gyirmót

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.37	3.15	2.75
	2.59	2.79	2.92
	2.61	2.91	2.96	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.66
	2.37	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
37.3%

Draw
29.9%

Gyirmót
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Gyirmót has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Ajka - Gyirmót Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Szabados I. (G) 7. Borsos F. 19. Csizmadia Z. 99. Garai Z. 25. Jagodics B. 11. Kopacsi A. 14. Kovacs N. 10. Pantovic N. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.	12. Rusak E. (G) 11. Adamcsek M. 67. Csorgo V. 39. Hudak D. 30. Hudak M. 7. Katona M. 15. Kiss N. 95. Madarasz M. 77. Miknyoczki A. 4. Rozs R. 17. Ugrai R.
Substitutes
1. Balogh M. (G) 12. Bobal G. 2. Csanadi B. 13. Csemer G. 30. Doncsecz L. 4. Frak M. 31. Horvath D. (G) 77. Horvath P. 5. Kenderes Z. 17. Kitl M. 23. Major G. 28. Szvoboda D.	98. Albrecht A. 9. Cserkuti-Nemeth O. 29. Erdei M. 51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 22. Helembai M. 24. Kecskes B. (G) 20. Kovacs D. 21. Molnar J. 71. Ominger B. 97. Szabo M. 28. Toth D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pantovic N. ⚽,
40', Ugrai R. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Csizmadia Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Hudak D. 🟨,
74', Borsos F. ↓, Bobal G. ↑,
83', Jagodics B. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Bobal G. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajka won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Gyirmót have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ajka won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
24.11.24	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Csákvári - Ajka	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Ajka - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
30.10.24	Ajka - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:4 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB II
27.10.24	Soroksár - Ajka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Gyirmót
Hungarian NB II
24.11.24	Kozármisleny - Gyirmót	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Tatabánya - Gyirmót	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Budafoki - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
31.10.24	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Gyirmót	1:3 ET ✺
Hungarian NB II
28.10.24	Gyirmót - Vasas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.24	Gyirmót - Ajka	2:2
Hungarian NB II
31.03.24	Ajka - Gyirmót	1:0
27.09.23	Gyirmót - Ajka	2:1
26.04.23	Ajka - Gyirmót	1:0
06.11.22	Gyirmót - Ajka	1:3
Hungarian Cup
19.09.21	Ajka - Gyirmót	0:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Gyirmót - Ajka	2:1

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