Match Info

UAE League - Round 14

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ajman Stadium (Ajman)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Ajman Club		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.9	1.46
	6.9	4.65	1.37	Watch
	7.32	4.63	1.4
	7.87	4.88	1.36	Watch
	7	4.2	1.36
	7.54	4.63	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.13 ↑ (6.42)	4.46 ↑ (4.14)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajman Club
12.9%

Draw
20.6%

Shabab Al-Ahli
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22.4%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.3%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajman Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajman Club than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ajman Club - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shabab Al-Ahli will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Al Hosani A. (C) 12. Mohammed M. N. A. 5. Zajkov G. 44. Yuri Matias 4. Suliman S. 99. Henrique V. 11. Abdelaziz A. 18. Moumen I. 7. Flemmings J. 67. Mittache A. 9. Azarou W.	22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 31. Kauan Santos 25. Gomes I. 13. Renan (C) 16. Rikelme 6. Ezatolahi S. 88. Maksimovic N. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 18. Al Mansouri M. 57. Yuri Cesar 19. Mateusao
Substitutes
30. Ahmed Y. (G) 32. Al Balooshi A. 8. Al Junaibi M. 90. Al Zaabi O. 48. El Hadani S. 10. Hotic D. 19. Marciano R. 2. Rakan A. 3. Saleh A. 92. Yazan M.	21. Adil S. 1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 8. Alvarez G. 80. Breno 10. Cartabia F. 77. Guilherme 79. Joao Marcelo 15. Kaiky 75. Mateus Henrique 4. Planic B. 23. Seifi M.
Coaches
Tufegdzic G.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Kauan Santos ⚽, Ezatolahi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mittache A. 🟨,
56', Mateusao 🟨,
58', Al Mansouri M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
58', Al Ghassani Y. ↓, Cartabia F. ↑,
61', Mittache A. ↓, Yazan M. ↑,
61', Abdelaziz A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
61', Henrique V. ↓, El Hadani S. ↑,
68', Rikelme ↓, Mateus Henrique ↑,
69', Maksimovic N. ↓, Breno ↑,
83', Yuri Cesar ↓, Planic B. ↑,
90', Moumen I. ↓, Marciano R. ↑,
90', Suliman S. ↓, Al Balooshi A. ↑,
90+1', Marciano R. 🟨,
90+2', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 0.

Ajman has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shabab Al-Ahli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ajman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajman won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:46. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajman won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.9:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajman	5	3	0	2	11:12	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajman Club
UAE Football League
19.01.26	Ajman Club - Al Dhafra	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Jazira - Ajman Club	3:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ajman Club - Ittihad Kalba	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Ajman Club - Dibba Al Fujairah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Super Cup UAE Qatar
24.01.26	Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:2 ✺
UAE Football League
19.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Dibba Al Fujairah	7:0 ✺
15.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl	3:1 ✺
07.01.26	Al Bataeh - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
15.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	3:1
08.02.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	3:1
UAE Presidents Cup
25.01.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	2:1
UAE League Cup
08.09.24	Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1
UAE Football League
30.08.24	Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:2
UAE League Cup
18.08.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	2:0
UAE Football League
25.02.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ajman Club	3:0

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