Match Info

UAE League - Round 9

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shabab Al-Ahli		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.07	3.53	3.31	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.17	3.37	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 (2.11)	3.29 ↓ (3.34)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ahli
43.7%

Draw
28%

Al Wasl
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Al Wasl have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Shabab Al Ahli - Al Wasl Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 25. Gomes I. 75. Mateus Henrique 4. Planic B. 31. Kauan Santos 88. Maksimovic N. 6. Ezatolahi S. 10. Cartabia F. (C) 77. Guilherme 57. Yuri Cesar 19. Mateusao	1. Al Senani K. (G) 79. Malheiro P. 4. Bouftini S. 34. Adryelson 16. Hugo 6. Sidibe S. 13. Tapia R. 19. Serginho 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 90. Diallo A.
Substitutes
21. Adil S. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 18. Al Mansouri M. 8. Alvarez G. 80. Breno 14. Garcia D. 15. Kaiky 26. Khamis S. 55. Maqdami R. (G) 16. Rikelme 70. Thiago	17. Abdulla S. (G) 32. Ali M. (G) 88. Al Shamsi A. 44. Awad S. 25. Gabriel Vareta 10. Lima F. 30. Palacios Alzate B. 96. Renato Junior 12. Saleh A.
Coaches
Sousa P.	Meral M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Sidibe S. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Saleh A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Cartabia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Yuri Cesar ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
62', Saleh A. ↓, Lima F. ↑,
62', Diallo A. ↓, Renato Junior ↑,
67', Mateusao ↓, Adil S. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Yuri Cesar ⚽,
77', Yuri Cesar ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
77', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
78', Cartabia F. ↓, Breno ↑,
78', Tapia R. ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
78', Hugo ↓, Gabriel Vareta ↑,
79', Planic B. 🟨,
87', Maksimovic N. 🟨,
87', Guilherme ↓, Kaiky ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Al Mansouri M. ⚽, Al Ghassani Y. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 3.

Recent performances by Shabab Al-Ahli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Wasl is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.

Shabab Al-Ahli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 40:29. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Wasl	5	3	1	1	15:6	9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Shabab Al-Ahli - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.03%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
07.01.26	Al Bataeh - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:4 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:3 ✺
UAE Super Cup
27.12.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli	4:2 ✺
UAE League Cup
29.11.25	Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli	4:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
07.01.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Wasl	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Al Wasl - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Wasl	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al Wasl - Al-Wehdat	2:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
30.11.25	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
03.05.25	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1
UAE Presidents Cup
02.04.25	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ET
UAE Football League
17.12.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl	3:0
UAE Super Cup
13.12.24	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:3 penalties
UAE Football League
26.05.24	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0
24.12.23	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl	1:2
UAE League Cup
11.12.23	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0

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