Match Info

Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:30	DSPORTS+ Plus
Ecuador	10:30	DAZN
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	12:30	DAZN, DSPORTS+ Plus
Venezuela	11:30	DAZN, DSPORTS+ Plus


	Akhmat Grozny		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.46	2.72
	2.55	3.4	2.65
	2.71	3.46	2.61	Watch
	2.48	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.47)	3.39 ↑ (3.17)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
36.5%

Draw
27.8%

Dynamo Moscow
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dynamo M (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo M (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Mitsaev R. (G) 8. Bogosavac M. 5. Cake K. 4. Ibishev T. 42. Keliano M. 76. Maksuti E. 77. Melkadze G. 18. Romao J. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 10. Shchetinin K. 6. Sidibe K.	31. Leshchuk I. (G) 77. Casimir J. 6. Fernandez R. 28. Gutierrez M. 50. Kutitsky A. 60. Marinkin T. 21. Miranchuk An. 88. Okishor V. 8. Rubens 33. Sergeev I. (C) 56. Zaydenzal L.
Substitutes
17. Cacintura E. 87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 23. Kenzhebek G. 54. Kistenev K. 13. Konate M. 90. Ndong O. 81. Sidorov M. 11. Silva I. 1. Ulyanov V. (G)	11. Arthur Gomes 10. Bitello 57. David Ricardo 74. Fomin D. 91. Gladyshev Y. 15. Glebov D. 99. Lunev A. (G) 2. Marichal N. 1. Rasulov K. (G) 70. Tyukavin K.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Kutitsky A. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
43', Romao J. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Okishor V. ⚽,
45+2', Maksuti E. 🟨,
45+3', Zaydenzal L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Sergeev I. ↓, Tyukavin K. ↑,
59', Casimir J. ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
59', Gutierrez M. ↓, Bitello ↑,
62', Ibishev T. 🟨,
62', Keliano M. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
62', Maksuti E. ↓, Sidorov M. ↑,
80', Okishor V. ↓, Glebov D. ↑,
86', Shchetinin K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Cacintura E. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Gladyshev Y. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.

In recent outings, Akhmat has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dynamo M is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Akhmat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:29 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Akhmat against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Dynamo Moscow: 10.77% Akhmat Grozny: 1.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.17%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
11.10.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTL
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
11.10.26	Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
03.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0
Russian Premier League
30.11.25	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow	2:1
19.10.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:1
Russian Premier League
02.12.24	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
15.09.24	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	4:2
Club Friendly
30.06.24	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:3

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