Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Arena Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Akron Tolyatti		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.56	2.26
	3.25	3.5	2.18
	3.17	3.52	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.98)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	2.23 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
30%

Draw
27.4%

Akhmat Grozny
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Akhmat will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 13. Bardybakhin V. 26. Escoval R. 19. Bokoev M. (C) 21. Fernandez R. 8. Bistrovic K. 15. Loncar S. 22. Maradishvili K. 11. Dudu 9. Tedic S. 7. Benchimol	1. Ulyanov V. (G) 95. Adamov A. 6. Sidibe K. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 18. Romao J. 11. Silva I. 20. Samorodov M. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.
Substitutes
10. Arevalo K. 91. Boldyrev M. 69. Dmitriev A. 6. Hovhannisyan K. 80. Khosonov K. 24. Nedelcearu I. 71. Pestryakov D. 89. Popenkov D. 2. Rocha Y. 99. Shumansky A. 17. Sidorenko A. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G)	70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 13. Konate M. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 90. Ndong O. 19. Pryakhin S. 10. Shchetinin K. 88. Shelia G. (G) 81. Sidorov M.
Coaches
Blagojevic S.	Cherchesov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Benchimol ⚽, Fernandez R. (A),
17', Bokoev M. 🟨,
37', Melkadze G. 🟥,
45+4', Romao J. 🟨,
45+5', Ndong O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
63', Sadulaev L. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
63', Romao J. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
69', Silva I. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
70', Maradishvili K. ↓, Dmitriev A. ↑,
70', Dudu ↓, Hovhannisyan K. ↑,
73', Sidibe K. 🟨,
76', Konate M. 🟨,
81', Tedic S. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
81', Bistrovic K. ↓, Khosonov K. ↑,
85', Loncar S. 🟨,
86', Samorodov M. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
86', Adamov A. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Hovhannisyan K. ⚽,
87', Bistrovic K. 🟨,
89', Hovhannisyan K. 🟨,
90+1', Benchimol ↓, Boldyrev M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Akhmat might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Akron: Djurasovic A. (Inactive) Nedelcearu I. (Injury) Pestryakov D. (Inactive) Zheleznov Y. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akron Togliatti: 0.84% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
13.09.26	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTTTL
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
13.09.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
15.03.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	1:1
27.09.25	Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti	3:0
11.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	3:2
31.08.24	Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti	0:0

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