Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Sport 4
Russia	14:00	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Akhmat Grozny		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	2.66	3.15	3.04
	2.6	3	2.95
	2.7	3.16	3.05	Watch
	2.46	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
36.7%

Draw
30.8%

Baltika Kaliningrad
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Baltika Kaliningrad aligns with the current prediction.

Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 95. Adamov A. 4. Ibishev T. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 18. Romao J. 11. Silva I. 6. Sidibe K. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 13. Konate M.	1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 4. Gassama N. 77. Civic E. (C) 73. Petrov M. 26. Belikov I. 10. Petrov I. 7. Shiltsov K. 9. Offor C.
Substitutes
87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 42. Keliano M. 54. Kistenev K. 76. Maksuti E. 71. Mitsaev R. (G) 90. Ndong O. 19. Pryakhin S. 10. Shchetinin K. 81. Sidorov M.	21. Anderson E. 91. Gil B. 69. Golenkov E. 98. Iva G. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 8. Mendel A. 11. Porokhov I. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Offor C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Petrov I. ↓, Mendel A. ↑,
46', Offor C. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
49', Belikov I. 🟨,
62', Varatynov S. 🟨,
65', Varatynov S. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
68', Konate M. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
72', Petrov M. ↓, Pospelov V. ↑,
74', Romao J. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
77', Keliano M. 🟨,
85', Shiltsov K. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
85', Mendel A. 🟨,
88', Silva I. 🟨,
90+5', Cake K. 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th in the Premier League (Relegation) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.

Akhmat has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baltika has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Akhmat: Melkadze G. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Baltika: Filin A. (Knee Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Akhmat has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:19 (averaging 0.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Akhmat against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:10 goals (averaging 0.7:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Baltika	12	3	5	4	15:13	2	14
14	Akhmat Grozny	12	2	5	5	15:17	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Baltika Kaliningrad - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 33%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krylya Sovetov	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLT
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
30.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
23.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:2
Russian Premier League
02.11.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:0
13.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:7
Russian Cup
31.10.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	4:1
Russian Premier League
23.09.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	1:0
Russian Cup
10.08.23	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2

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