Match Info

ICELAND: LENGJUDEILDIN - ROUND 5

Date: 1 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)


	Akraness		Fjölnir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.05
	2.7	4	2.05
	2.81	4.14	2.17
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.85	2.18
	2.7	3.7	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.63)	3.82 ↓ (4.2)	2.13 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
33.1%

Draw
24%

Fjölnir
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

21.5%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

21.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akraness's performance.

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fjölnir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akraness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fjölnir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Akraness - Fjölnir Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fjölnir will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 5. Hjorleifsson A. 13. Johannesson D. 4. Jonsson H. 9. Jonsson V. 28. Lindgren P. 88. Smarason A. (C) 20. Thorlaksson I. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J.	25. Hardarson S. (G) 29. Gudmundsson G. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 3. Haraldsson R. 10. Hardarson A. 7. Hilmarsson M. 23. Jonsson H. 4. Juliusson J. 6. Reynisson S. 11. Snorrason D. 8. Thorlacius O.
Substitutes
2. Einarsson H. 7. Finnbogason A. 6. Gislason J. G. E. 18. Haraldsson H. 27. Heimisson A. 14. Hermannsson B. 31. Hodzic D. (G)	26. Georgsson H. (G) 20. Hafstein B. T. 17. Hjalmarsson V. 14. Ingvarsson D. 2. Kristinsson S. 37. Sigursteinsson A. 16. Thorhalsson O.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta~deild karla).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akraness won 3.

Recent matches Akraness is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fjölnir is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fjölnir will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Akraness won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Akraness won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Division 1
26.05.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Akraness	2:3 ✺
22.05.23	Akraness - Afturelding	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Vestri - Akraness	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Akraness - Grindavik	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
19.04.23	Keflavík - Akraness	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLL
- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Division 1
26.05.23	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
21.05.23	Selfoss - Fjölnir	1:2 ✺
11.05.23	Fjölnir - Throttur Reykjavik	3:3 ✺
05.05.23	Ægir - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
19.04.23	Fjölnir - Breiðablik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
05.03.22	Akraness - Fjölnir	3:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.09.20	Fjölnir - Akraness	1:3
14.09.17	Fjölnir - Akraness	2:2
19.06.17	Akraness - Fjölnir	3:1
07.08.16	Fjölnir - Akraness	4:0
12.05.16	Akraness - Fjölnir	1:0
24.08.15	Akraness - Fjölnir	4:4

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