Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 12

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
World	Onefootball


	Akraness		Fram

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.90	2.25
	2.58	3.95	2.28	Watch
	2.67	4.09	2.34
	2.65	4.01	2.35	Watch
	2.6	4	2.25
	2.57	3.77	2.41	Watch
	2.55	4	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.62)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
36%

Draw
23.6%

Fram
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Akraness - Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Fram will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 13. Sandberg E. T. 16. Sigurjonsson R. (C) 21. Bodvarsson B. 8. Thorarinsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 22. Stefansson O. 20. Gudjonsson I. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 9. Jonsson V.	22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 23. Aegisson M. 19. Chopart K. (C) 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 16. Garcia I. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 10. Fred Saraiva 17. Jonasson A. 9. Hauksson R.
Substitutes
5. Berndsen B. 31. Eidem I. (G) 11. Eyjolfsson G. 28. Grzegorzsson D. 15. Gunnarsson G. 34. Johannesson E. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 35. Zumbergs A.	4. Adalsteinsson A. 15. Bystrom J. 29. Dimitrijevic V. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 7. Konradsson K. 14. Runolfsson B. 12. Tibbling S.
Coaches
Sigurdsson L.	Kristinsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Jonasson A. ⚽, Hauksson R. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Jonasson A. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Fred Saraiva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stefansson O. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
46', Gudjonsson I. ↓, Eyjolfsson G. ↑,
55', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
57', Jonasson A. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
76', Hauksson R. ↓, Dimitrijevic V. ↑,
76', Fred Saraiva ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
84', Jonsson V. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
84', Sigurjonsson R. ↓, Berndsen B. ↑,
84', Gislason J. G. E. ↓, Zumbergs A. ↑,
86', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Tibbling S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 2.

In recent matches, Akraness has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fram is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fram may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.06.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:3 ✺
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.26	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Akraness	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWT
- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.26	Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:5 ✺
15.06.26	KA Akureyri - Fram	3:4 ✺
29.05.26	Fram - Breiðablik	4:3 ✺
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.04.26	Fram - Akraness	3:3
05.07.25	Akraness - Fram	0:1
06.04.25	Fram - Akraness	0:1
12.08.24	Akraness - Fram	1:0
21.05.24	Fram - Akraness	1:1
08.10.22	Akraness - Fram	3:2
25.07.22	Akraness - Fram	0:4

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