Match Info

Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 1h 20m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 5
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Akraness		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.80	4.10
	1.55	4.6	4.3	Watch
	1.6	4.93	4.45
	1.59	4.91	4.56	Watch
	1.53	4.8	4.1
	1.57	4.7	4.37
	1.54	4.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	4.78 ↑ (4.66)	4.33 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
59.2%

Draw
19.4%

Keflavík
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

20.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

20%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Akraness - Keflavík Predictions

Users Predictions: Akraness will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Akraness will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 0.

Akraness has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Keflavík is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Akraness is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Akraness has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:35 (averaging 1.9:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Akraness against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akranes	26	10	7	9	50:51	-1	37
6	Keflavik	26	8	5	13	39:50	-11	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.10.26	Fram - Akraness	2:4 ✺
11.10.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Akraness - KR Reykjavík	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWLW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.10.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Keflavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Keflavík - Akraness	3:1
19.04.23	Keflavík - Akraness	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.10.22	Keflavík - Akraness	3:2
28.08.22	Keflavík - Akraness	0:1
29.05.22	Akraness - Keflavík	0:2

Akraness - Keflavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide