Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 12

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos)

Referee: Chatzigeorgiou P. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Akritas Chlorakas		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.35	1.38
	8.67	4.59	1.38
	9.27	5.03	1.31	Watch
	8	4	1.36
	8.45	4.3	1.39	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.4 ↓ (9.27)	4.46 ↓ (5.03)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akritas Chlorakas
11%

Draw
20.8%

AEK Larnaca
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

18.6%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.5%

17.5%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akritas Chlorakas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akritas Chlorakas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

Akritas Chlorakas - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Akritas Chlorakas will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - AEK Larnaca (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Larnaca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perntreou K. (G) 16. Anthony I. 7. Barry T. 17. Castro Y. 26. Chatzivasilis G. 14. Fernandez A. 19. Ioannou T. 6. Kablan C. 10. Reynolds A. 23. Taffertshofer E. 28. Zabelin P.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 20. Amyn Y. 30. Cabrera E. 22. Ekpolo G. 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Izquierdo J. 6. Jimmy Suarez 17. Pons P. 27. Roberge V.
Substitutes
82. Anang B. 5. Antoniou K. 11. Athanasiou A. 99. Becker Y. (G) 24. Dubov N. R. 3. Genethliou L. 4. Miller S. 20. Riera A. 88. Theokli A. (G) 30. Vasiliou G. 29. Zinonos N.	19. Angielski K. 11. Bajic R. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 14. Garcia A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 10. Rubio W. 4. Saborit E.
Coaches
Nikolaou M.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Kablan C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
37', Ioannou T. 🟨,
44', Castro Y. 🟨,
45+6', Barry T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Roberge V. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
55', Taffertshofer E. ↓, Anang B. ↑,
61', Anang B. 🟨,
63', Ioannou P. 🟨,
67', Amyn Y. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
73', Barry T. ↓, Athanasiou A. ↑,
79', Gnali J. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
80', Cabrera E. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
87', Angielski K. 🟨,
88', Chatzivasilis G. ↓, Antoniou K. ↑,
88', Ioannou T. ↓, Zinonos N. ↑,
89', Ioannou P. ↓, Miramon ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Akritas Chlorakas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AEK Larnaca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Akritas Chlorakas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is the clear favorite.

There are questionable in Akritas Chlorakas: Benito (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Akritas Chlorakas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Akritas Chlorakas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akritas Chlorakas
Cypriot First Division
24.11.25	Krasava Ypsonas - Akritas Chlorakas	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Akritas Chlorakas - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Aris Limassol - Akritas Chlorakas	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Akritas Chlorakas - Omonia Aradippou	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Anorthosis - Akritas Chlorakas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLLT
- AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Rijeka - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.11.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
02.11.25	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Cup
01.10.24	AEK Larnaca - Akritas Chlorakas	5:0
Cypriot First Division
10.02.23	AEK Larnaca - Akritas Chlorakas	1:1
07.11.22	Akritas Chlorakas - AEK Larnaca	1:2

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