Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Armenia	Fast Sports
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Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Rijeka		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.98	3.35	3.7
	1.99	3.41	3.91
	2.09	3.42	3.48	Watch
	2.09	3.47	3.78
	1.94	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.81 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
47.2%

Draw
27.9%

AEK Larnaca
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	16.7%	29.2%

Rijeka - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - AEK Larnaca (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - AEK Larnaca (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. 51. Husic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 19. Vignato S. 26. Dantas T. 10. Fruk T. 14. Gojak A. 18. Adu Adjei D.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 21. Miramon 15. Milicevic H. (C) 4. Saborit E. 93. Gnali J. 17. Pons P. 7. Ledes Gustavo 10. Rubio W. 29. Naoum G. 9. Ivanovic D. 11. Bajic R.
Substitutes
91. Bodetic N. 27. Butic S. 9. Cop D. 77. Juric A. 2. Kitin L. 23. Lasickas J. 17. Menalo L. 20. Ndockyt M. 8. Petrovic D. 11. Rukavina G. 25. Thaqi D. 99. Todorovic A. (G)	19. Angielski K. 30. Cabrera E. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 14. Garcia A. 37. Gerasimou D. 2. Ioannou P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 41. Mathias Gonzalez 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 27. Roberge V.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rubio W. 🟨,
45', Gnali J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Naoum G. 🟨,
60', Pons P. 🟨,
60', Miramon 🟨,
67', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
67', Gojak A. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
75', Rubio W. ↓, Ekpolo G. ↑,
75', Naoum G. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
75', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
90+3', Milicevic H. 🟨,
90+3', Saborit E. 🟨,
90+4', Ivanovic D. ↓, Roberge V. ↑,
90+4', Pons P. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
90+7', Majstorovic A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Rijeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AEK Larnaca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rijeka might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Rijeka: Jankovic N. (Red Card) Kreilach D. (Injury) Skoric M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rijeka: Bogojevic B. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
22.11.25	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	5:0 ✺
09.11.25	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Rijeka - Osijek	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLW
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
22.11.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
02.11.25	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
30.10.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW

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