Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Somaspor

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.55	7.5
	1.29	4.3	7
	1.33	4.36	9.26	Watch
	1.31	4.33	9.35
	1.28	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	4.41 ↓ (4.44)	8.42 ↓ (8.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
68.9%

Draw
20.4%

Somaspor
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

12.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aksaray Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Somaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aksaray Belediyespor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Gulmez A. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Ozcan E. ⚽, Pektas O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Kot S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 1 - 3, Gulmez A. ⚽, Pektas O. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Aksaray Belediyespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Somaspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Aksaray Belediyespor is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aksaray Belediyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aksaray Belediyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.12.25	Ankara Demirspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Mardin 1969	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Fethiyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWL
- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.12.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:4 ✺
30.11.25	Kırklarelispor - Somaspor	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Somaspor - Isparta 32 Spor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Adanaspor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Somaspor - Arnavutköy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
06.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0
24.11.24	Somaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0
03.04.24	Somaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:1
19.11.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	2:0

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