Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Aktobe		Akzhayik

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.1	3.85
	1.78	3.15	4.3
	1.76	3.48	4.81
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.77	3.4	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.3)	3.26 ↓ (4.5)	4.36 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
51.2%

Draw
27.9%

Akzhayik
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

20%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

20%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Akzhayik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akzhayik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akzhayik than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akzhayik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Aktobe - Akzhayik Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Akzhayik will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 0.

Recent matches Aktobe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akzhayik is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Aktobe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
27.04.22	Taraz - Aktobe	3:0 ✺
23.04.22	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Aksu - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Aktobe - Shakhter Karagandy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWT
- FC Akzhayik
Kazakh Premier League
27.04.22	Akzhayik - Aksu	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Akzhayik	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Akzhayik - Astana	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Atyrau - Akzhayik	0:1 ✺
04.04.22	Akzhayik - Kairat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
07.08.21	Akzhayik - Aktobe	2:1
11.07.21	Aktobe - Akzhayik	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.21	Aktobe - Akzhayik	2:1
24.04.21	Akzhayik - Aktobe	1:0
18.08.18	Akzhayik - Aktobe	0:0
28.07.18	Akzhayik - Aktobe	1:1
13.05.18	Aktobe - Akzhayik	5:3

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