Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Referee: Kuchin A. (Kaz)


	Aksu		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.89	2.94	2.39
	3.7	3.25	1.88
	2.88	3.4	2.31
	2.75	3.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (4.03)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)	2.26 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksu
30.6%

Draw
28.8%

Aktobe
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

27.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.3%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aksu's performance.

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aktobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aksu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aksu - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Aktobe will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Junior A. C. 10. Karaman D. 92. Kobzar E. 7. Lima M. 95. Mawutor D. 3. Nikolic M. 5. Obilor F. (C) 93. Osuchukwu C. 89. Suikaev A. 17. Turlybek M. 8. Zhaksybaev U.	41. Lobantsev M. (G) 3. Bessmertnyi D. 4. Gadrani L. 66. Ghnayem E. 99. Izotov R. 80. Kenesov A. 14. Kybyray Y. 15. Niangbo A. 2. Rudoselskiy T. 77. Shomko D. (C) 9. Zhumabek A.
Substitutes
30. Agimanov T. 97. Baizhanov T. 15. Bryan 18. Eskic N. 21. Golubnichi M. (G) 77. Kakimov A. 16. Krasotin A. 11. Marat D. 85. Noskov T. (G) 4. Nyrkov D. 70. Suley A. 20. Zemko E.	7. Baytana B. 20. China 93. Elder Santana 6. Kasym A. 1. Pokatilov S. (G) 19. Raickovic M. 5. Strumia L. 88. Yashin D.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Karpovich A.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Aksu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aktobe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aktobe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aktobe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aksu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aksu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
05.08.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aksu	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Aksu - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Zhetysu - Aksu	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Ordabasy - Aksu	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Aksu - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLL
- FC Aktobe
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.08.23	Aktobe - Kairat	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1
26.08.22	Aktobe - Aksu	1:0
10.04.22	Aksu - Aktobe	1:2

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