Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Aktobe)

Referee: Izmailov D. (Kaz)


	Aktobe		Makhtaaral

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.5
	1.24	4.8	7.5
	1.29	4.59	9
	1.29	4.6	7.5
	1.29	5.3	9
	1.27	5.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.51)	4.99 ↑ (3.92)	8.38 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
71.1%

Draw
18.1%

Makhtaaral
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Makhtaaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aktobe - Makhtaaral Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Makhtaaral will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pokatilov S. (G) 7. Baytana B. 93. Elder Santana 4. Gadrani L. 15. Niangbo A. 19. Raickovic M. 77. Shomko D. (C) 5. Strumia L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 11. Videmont H. 88. Yashin D.	1. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 12. Braga V. 96. Charleston 3. Dairov N. 23. Dobay A. 81. Karimov R. (C) 30. Kone D. 9. Mukhamed A. 77. Pairuz Z. 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Yudenkov R.
Substitutes
21. Filipovic A. 6. Kasym A. 80. Kenesov A. 14. Kybyray Y. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 10. Samorodov M. 17. Umaev I. 9. Zhumabek A. 44. Zulpa A.	8. Doumbia S. 31. Duyseshov S. 35. Kalmykov N. (G) 55. Potapov E. 14. Serikbay M. 4. Zhaksylykov Z. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G) 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 17. Zhumat D.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Nurdauletov K.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 3.

Aktobe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Makhtaaral is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aktobe is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aktobe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
03.06.23	Aktobe - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Kaisar - Aktobe	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Kairat - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aktobe - Aksu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- FC Makhtaaral
Kazakh Premier League
04.06.23	Kaisar - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Makhtaaral - Kairat	3:1 ✺
21.05.23	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Makhtaaral - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Makhtaaral - Astana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
10.09.22	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:1
Kazakh Cup
06.08.22	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:0
09.07.22	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	3:2
Kazakh Premier League
23.04.22	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:0
Kazakh First League
16.10.20	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	2:0
18.09.20	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	0:0

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