Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Raed		Al-Adalh

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.45	6.1
	1.32	4.87	7.53	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.32	4.6	7.9	Watch
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	4.62 ↑ (4.11)	7.11 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
67.6%

Draw
19.6%

Al-Adalh
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Raed's performance.

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Adalh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Raed that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Adalh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Raed - Al Adalh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al Raed (1.53) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Al Raed will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 38. Al Dawsari M. 66. Whaeshi B. 24. Al Salouli S. 8. Narvaez J. 15. Shami A. 10. Yoda K. 26. Bouzok Y. 9. Gano Z.	12. Al Dawsari M. (G) 19. Al Muziel K. 18. Al Baladi E. 16. Al Hamdhi K. N. (C) 10. Chivaviro R. 15. Al Mohammed H. 29. Al Jamman A. 23. Al Khaldi M. 7. Al Ibrahim R. 24. Al Marri M. 95. Bukia A.
Substitutes
25. Abdulrazaq F. 22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 7. Al Shaikh M. 11. Al Shanqiti W. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 13. Al Yousif A. 45. Sunbul Y. 77. Ziyad Al Refaei	71. Al Abbad A. 6. Al Basha A. 13. Al Biladi M. (G) 11. Al Bohassn M. 26. Al Hejji M. 17. Al Majhad H. 88. Al Suwaij A. 91. Bouamer N. 9. Qarradi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Bukia A. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Chivaviro R. ⚽, Al Jamman A. (A),
36', Shami A. 🟨,
42', Shami A. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
44', 1 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽,
45+1', Bukia A. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 2, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
45+5', 2 - 3, Bukia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Al Dawsari M. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
48', 3 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
50', 4 - 3, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
54', 5 - 3, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
62', Al Ibrahim R. ↓, Al Majhad H. ↑,
66', Al Marri M. ↓, Qarradi J. ↑,
69', Narvaez J. 🟨,
81', Chivaviro R. ↓, Al Suwaij A. ↑,
82', Al Hamdhi K. N. ↓, Bouamer N. ↑,
86', 6 - 3, Gano Z. ⚽, Al Shanqiti W. (A),
86', Al Dossary M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
86', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent form of Al Raed has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Adalh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Al Raed is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Raed won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Raed won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Adalah	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
17.01.26	Abha - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al Raed - Al-Zulfi	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Al Raed - Al-Ula	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Al-Adalh FC
Saudi Division 1
16.01.26	Al Jubail - Al-Adalh	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Adalh - Abha	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh	4:1 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Al Jandal - Al-Adalh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
12.09.25	Al-Adalh - Al Raed	4:4
Saudi Professional League
11.03.23	Al-Adalh - Al Raed	0:3
01.10.22	Al Raed - Al-Adalh	2:1
29.08.20	Al-Adalh - Al Raed	1:1
26.12.19	Al Raed - Al-Adalh	1:0

Al Raed - Al-Adalh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide